The Civil Beat Poll

Civil Beat Poll: Abercrombie on Top, Hannemann in Trouble

·By John Temple

A new poll conducted this week shows that former Congressman Neil Abercrombie has a decisive lead over Honolulu’s former mayor in the race for the Democratic nomination for governor.


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<p><strong>Methodology:</strong> Aloha Vote, a Hawaii subsidiary of Merriman River Group (MRG), surveyed 1,226 likely primary voters on Sept. 7 and 8 using interactive voice response technology (touch-tone polling). The margin of error is +/- 2.75 percentage points. The margin of error indicates that in 95 percent of samples of this size, the results will be within +/- 2.75 percent of the actual percentage in the full population of likely voters.
Merriman River Group, founded in 1998, is a full-service consulting organization specializing in election management, opinion research and communication. In 2008 and 2009, MRG collected national survey data for the National Leadership Index conducted by the Center for Public Leadership at the Harvard Kennedy School.</p>