The Civil Beat Poll

Civil Beat Poll: Abercrombie Holds Slight Edge in Hawaii Governor’s Race

·By John Temple

Three weeks before election day, the Democratic former congressman is up 3 percentage points on his GOP opponent, Lt. Gov Duke Aiona.


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Methodology: Aloha Vote, a Hawaii subsidiary of Merriman River Group (MRG), surveyed 1,151 likely voters on Oct. 11 using interactive voice response technology (touch-tone polling). The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. The margin of error indicates that in 95 percent of samples of this size, the results will be within +/- 2.9 percent of the actual percentage in the full population of likely voters. Merriman River Group, founded in 1998, is a full-service consulting organization specializing in election management, opinion research and communication. Since 2008, MRG has collected national survey data for the National Leadership Index conducted by the Center for Public Leadership at the Harvard Kennedy School.