The Civil Beat Poll

Civil Beat Poll – Case, Hirono Neck-and-Neck for U.S. Senate Nomination

·By John Temple

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About the Author

Civil Beat Staff

John Temple

Discussion

Who do you think is the stronger Democratic candidate for the U.S. Senate? Mazie Hirono or Ed Case? Explain why in the comments section below.
<p><strong>ABOUT THE POLL:</strong> Civil Beat surveyed 1,358 likely voters on Jan. 18 and 19 using interactive voice response technology (touch-tone polling). The sampling margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. The margin of error indicates that in 95 percent of samples of this size, the results will be within +/- 2.7 percent of the actual percentage in the full population of voters. The poll was weighted for age, gender and likelihood of voting. The order of candidate names was randomized. The poll was conducted by Civil Beat working with <a href="http://www.merrimanriver.com/home.html">Merriman River Group</a>, a full-service consulting organization specializing in election management, opinion research and communication.</p>
<p><strong>COMPLETE RESULTS</strong></p>
<div style="width:477px" id="__ss_11328051"><strong style="display:block;margin:12px 0 4px"><a href="http://www.slideshare.net/civilbeat/civil-beat-january-2012-us-senate-primary-toplines-and-crosstabs" title="Civil beat january 2012 u.s. senate primary toplines and crosstabs">Civil beat january 2012 u.s. senate primary toplines and crosstabs</a></strong><object id="__sse11328051" width="477" height="510"><param name="movie" value="http://static.slidesharecdn.com/swf/doc_player.swf?doc=civilbeatjanuary2012u-s-senateprimarytoplinesandcrosstabs-120129215227-phpapp02&stripped_title=civil-beat-january-2012-us-senate-primary-toplines-and-crosstabs&userName=civilbeat" /><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"/><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always"/><param name="wmode" value="transparent"/><embed name="__sse11328051" src="http://static.slidesharecdn.com/swf/doc_player.swf?doc=civilbeatjanuary2012u-s-senateprimarytoplinesandcrosstabs-120129215227-phpapp02&stripped_title=civil-beat-january-2012-us-senate-primary-toplines-and-crosstabs&userName=civilbeat" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" wmode="transparent" width="477" height="510"></embed></object><div style="padding:5px 0 12px">View more <a href="http://www.slideshare.net/">documents</a> from <a href="http://www.slideshare.net/civilbeat">Civil Beat</a>.</div></div>

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<p>In August, Case released a poll by <a href="http://www.merrimanriver.com/home.html">Merriman River Group</a> that showed him leading Hirono in the primary by 53 percent to 37 percent. Merriman did just that one poll for Case and no longer works for him. In December, Hirono's campaign said it had an internal poll that showed her leading Case by an 18-point margin.
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