The Civil Beat PollHonolulu Rail Project

Civil Beat Poll – Majority of Honolulu Voters Don’t Buy Rail Congestion Argument

·By John Temple

Flickr: Casey Serin

About the Author

Civil Beat Staff

John Temple

Discussion

Thoughts on what Honolulu voters think about rail's impact on congestion? Join the discussion below.
<div style="width:477px" id="__ss_11899917"><strong style="display:block;margin:12px 0 4px"><a href="http://www.slideshare.net/civilbeat/cb-february-2012-poll-results-congestion" title="Cb february 2012 poll results congestion">Cb february 2012 poll results congestion</a></strong><object id="__sse11899917" width="477" height="510"><param name="movie" value="http://static.slidesharecdn.com/swf/doc_player.swf?doc=cbfebruary2012pollresults-congestion-120307010102-phpapp01&stripped_title=cb-february-2012-poll-results-congestion&userName=civilbeat" /><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"/><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always"/><param name="wmode" value="transparent"/><embed name="__sse11899917" src="http://static.slidesharecdn.com/swf/doc_player.swf?doc=cbfebruary2012pollresults-congestion-120307010102-phpapp01&stripped_title=cb-february-2012-poll-results-congestion&userName=civilbeat" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" wmode="transparent" width="477" height="510"></embed></object><div style="padding:5px 0 12px">View more <a href="http://www.slideshare.net/">documents</a> from <a href="http://www.slideshare.net/civilbeat">Civil Beat</a>.</div></div>

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<p><strong>ABOUT THE POLL:</strong> Civil Beat surveyed 1,172 likely voters on February 26 and 27, 2012, using interactive voice response technology (touch-tone polling). Likely voters were defined as registered voters whose public voting record indicated active participation in recent General Elections. No calls were made (a) to residents of the state who were not registered voters or (b) to registered voters who did not have a demonstrated record of participation in recent General Elections. Poll results were weighted based on age and gender. The sampling margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. The margin of error indicates that in 95 percent of samples of this size, the results will be within +/- 2.9 percent of the actual percentage in the full population of voters. The poll was conducted by Civil Beat working with <a href="http://www.merrimanriver.com/home.html">Merriman River Group</a>, a full-service consulting organization specializing in election management, opinion research and communication.
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<p>Civil Beat defined the rail corridor as the entirety of all ZIP codes where the distance from a rail station or the rail line to the nearest point of a given ZIP code was one mile or less. We determined distances using a <a href="http://maps.huge.info/zip.htm">ZIP code map</a>, the <a href="http://www.honolulutransit.org/rail-system-guide/interactive-route-map.aspx">official interactive route map</a> from HART and an as-the-crow-flies <a href="http://www.freemaptools.com/how-far-is-it-between.htm">distance calculator</a>. Here's the full list of ZIP codes we determined to be within the transit corridor for the purposes of this poll: 96707, 96706, 96797, 96782, 96701, 96818, 96819, 96817, 96813, 96814, 96826, 96822, 96815, 96853, 96860. Civil Beat used public voter records to establish the ZIP codes of respondents.
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