That’s according to Nate Silver, NYT’s poll analyst wunderkind.
In a FiveThirtyEight column titled Can Republicans Win the Senate in 2014?, Silver has this to say about Hawaii:
The Democratic primary could be competitive in Hawaii after Gov. Neil Abercrombie, facing a choice of several qualified candidates, appointed his lieutenant governor, Brian Schatz, to the seat in December. But there is no indication that the Republicans will be viable in the general election, especially after the former Gov. Linda Lingle, a Republican, lost her Senate race by 25 percentage points in 2012.