The Beat

Crystal Ball: Hawaii Democratic Senate Primary Leans Schatz

·By civilbeat

Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley of Sabato’s Crystal Ball says that history shows “once again that it’s hard to beat an incumbent.”

That logic applies to Hawaii, according to the Crystal Ball:

HAWAII (D): Appointed Sen. Brian Schatz (D) just outraised Rep. Colleen Hanabusa (D) again –$705,000 to $455,000 in the fourth quarter — and seems to be running the more complete campaign. There’s plenty of time to go before the Aug. 9 primary, but we think Schatz is at least a slight favorite to win the