Civil Beat Poll: Donna Mercado Kim Still Frontrunner in CD1 Race

With Mark Takai not far behind and four other Democrats stuck in single digits, the congressional race seems a two-person contest.

·By Chad Blair

Donna Mercado Kim continues to lead the crowded contest for Hawaii’s 1st Congressional District, according to a Civil Beat Poll.

But Mark Takai remains in the hunt, trailing Kim 30 percent to 24 percent among voters who said they intend to vote Democrat in the primary.

Four other candidates in the Democratic primary polled in single digits. The number of undecided voters is 23 percent.

State Senate President Donna Mercado Kim, second from left, with senators Gil Kahale, Ron Kouchi and Malama Solomon at the Democratic Party of Hawaii convention, May 25, 2014.

PF Bentley/Civil Beat

“It sure looks like a two-candidate race,” said Brendan Hood, a polling analyst  with Merriman River Group, which conducted The Civil Beat Poll. 

Civil Beat surveyed 416 registered voters who live in the 1st District, which covers the urban areas of the City & County of Honolulu. Of those, 259 said they planned to vote Democrat in the Aug. 9 primary. The margin of error was 6.1 percent.

Hood cautioned that the poll’s sample size is “relatively smaller” than ones for statewide races, and the margin of error is larger.

“But even with that, it clearly looks like a race between state Sen. Kim and state Rep. Takai,” he said.

This is the second time Civil Beat has surveyed the 1st Congressional race. In February, Kim lead Takai 25 percent to 20 percent. Thirty-six percent were undecided.

The other four Democrats we polled May 18-19 were state Sen. Will Espero and Honolulu City Councilmen Ikaika Anderson,

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Chad Blair

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