With barely a week to go before the primary election, state Sen. David Ige has a double-digit lead over Gov. Neil Abercrombie in the race for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination, a new Civil beat Poll shows.
A majority of Hawaii voters surveyed statewide, or 51 percent, who say they will vote in the Democratic primary said they would vote for Ige, compared with 41 percent for Abercrombie. Just 8 percent said they are undecided.
The new survey suggests that Ige’s surprisingly strong showing in a Civil Beat Poll published June 12 was no fluke. Ige led Abercrombie 48-37 percent at that time.
Surprising, because Ige is a relatively unknown challenger with a more than 10-to-1 fundraising disadvantage against Abercrombie, who is the far better-known politician.
What’s more, the state’s economy is growing steadily, unemployment is low and the administration has a record that includes significant accomplishments.
The explanation for voter sentiment, the poll suggests, is that a lot of people simply don’t care much for Neil Abercrombie.
Civil Beat surveyed 1,240 registered voters statewide July 24-28. Of those, 895 said they were likely to vote in the Democratic primary. Using those numbers for likely Democratic voters, this poll has a margin of error of 3.3 percent.
The poll included landlines and cell phone users. Civil Beat did not include a third Democrat running for governor, Van K. Tanabe, in this survey.
Just 43 percent of those voters said they view the governor positively compared with 47 percent who have a negative view. Only 9 percent said they were unsure.
In sharp contrast, Ige’s positive rating is 59 percent and his negative numbers a mere 12 percent. While almost one-third of voters (29 percent) …