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Civil Beat Poll: Schatz, Takai Both Frontrunners For Washington, D.C.

Hawaii Rep. Mark Takai surges ahead of top rival, state Sen. Donna Mercado Kim, in CD1 while U.S. Sen. Brian Schatz continues to lead U.S. Rep. Colleen Hanabusa.

·By Nick Grube

U.S. Sen. Brian Schatz appears to have stretched out his lead over U.S. Rep. Colleen Hanabusa, according to the latest Civil Beat Poll.

The survey of likely Democratic voters shows Schatz with a 49 percent to 41 percent edge on the congresswoman. That’s a wider lead than in May, the last time Civil Beat polled the race.

Poll results also show Hawaii Rep. Mark Takai is now the frontrunner in a seven-way free-for-all for the Democratic nomination in the state’s 1st Congressional District.

Hawaii Senate President Donna Mercado Kim previously held the edge, but now trails Takai by a 7 point margin.

Hawaii Rep. Mark Takai, left, and U.S. Sen.Brian Schatz are leading in the polls.

PF Bentley/Civil Beat

Civil Beat surveyed 1,240 registered Hawaii voters statewide from July 24-28. Of those, 895 said they were likely to vote in the Democratic primary and of those 482 said they are in CD1.

The poll included land lines and cellphones. The margin of error for the Senate poll is 3.3 percent. It’s 4.5 percent for CD1.

‘Modest But Stubborn’

Schatz continues to hold a firm lead in his bid to stay in office, and looks to have been adding to his support. Hanabusa on the other hand has a lot of work to do if she hopes to move from the House to the Senate.

“It might end up being a tick or two closer, but certainly Schatz is in the driver’s seat,” said Matt Fitch, executive director of Merriman River Group, the firm that

About the Author

Civil Beat Staff

Nick Grube

Nick Grube is a reporter for Civil Beat. You can reach him by email at nick@civilbeat.com or follow him on Twitter at @nickgrube.
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