Civil Beat Poll: Abercrombie on Top, Hannemann in Trouble09/10/2010
Former Congressman Neil Abercrombie has a wide lead in the Democratic governor's primary, according to a new Civil Beat poll.
Abercrombie would get 48 percent of the vote, compared to just 31 percent for former Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann, an automated telephone poll of 1,226 likely primary voters found. It was conducted for Civil Beat by Aloha Vote, a Hawaii subsidiary of Merriman River Group (MRG), a Connecticut research organization. The margin of error is +/- 2.75 percent.
Twelve percent said they would support another candidate (most likely Lt. Gov. James "Duke" Aiona) and 9 percent were undecided.
"I don't think Abercrombie can lose it unless something happens in Hawaii that defies the trend across the country in the primaries, and that's an enormous turnout," said Matt Fitch, executive director of Merriman River Group.