Civil Beat Poll - Tulsi Leaves Mufi In Her Dust

Michael Levine/Civil Beat

UPDATED 9:40 a.m. Aug. 6, 2012

Tulsi Gabbard is on the verge of completing an epic out-of-nowhere comeback to topple Mufi Hannemann and become the Democratic Party nominee for Hawaii's vacant seat in Congress.

The 31-year-old first-term Honolulu City Council member has opened up a decisive 49 percent to 29 percent lead over the more experienced Hannemann with many early votes already cast and the Aug. 11 primary just days away, according to The Civil Beat Poll.

Six months ago, the Honolulu Star-Advertiser- and Hawaii News Now-sponsored Hawaii Poll showed Hannemann with an early 65-20 lead. Even recent Hawaii Poll results released just last week still said Hannemann had a "healthy margin," leading Gabbard 43-33.

Civil Beat surveyed 577 likely 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary voters — nearly all of whom had either already voted or said they were definitely going to vote — between Tuesday (July 31) and Thursday (Aug. 2).1 The results have a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percent. Former Office of Hawaiian Affairs chief advocate Esther Kiaaina secured 8 percent and Big Island lawyer Bob Marx 7 percent. That leaves 7 percent who said they wouldn't vote for any of the candidates or were undecided.

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