Civil Beat Poll - Hirono Up Big On Lingle10/01/2012
The Civil Beat Poll shows Hirono, a Democratic congresswoman, with a 55 percent to 39 percent advantage over the two-term Republican Hawaii governor. The survey of 1,648 likely general election voters was conducted between Sept. 26 and Sept. 28.1 The poll's margin of error is 2.4 percent. Six percent said they were undecided.
The poll also digs into education issues like furlough Fridays and the ongoing teacher contract dispute. It finds Hirono's lead was built largely with support from voters who don't have kids in Hawaii's public school system.
Of the third of respondents who said they have children who are either in Hawaii public schools or attended public schools within the last 10 years, Hirono's lead is only 48 percent to 45 percent — a statistical tie among that subset. But among the likely voters with no kids in school now or recently, Hirono's advantage balloons to 59 percent to 36 percent.